ShigeruIshiba
 
 
2020年05月21日 #

27 May, 2020: The X-Day of PM S. Abe’s Resignation?

In the latest posts, I highlighted geopolitical risks in East Asia will draw attention in the period between ca. 21 and 27 May, 2020. As a possible cause of such a abrupt development, I mentioned domestic political turmoil in PRC will get into a crucial phase due to Hong Kong, Taiwan, and COVID-19 along with Wang Qishan. However, in the course of time, another remarkable trend of risk is dramatically emerging. It’s rather Japan, my mother country, that matters.

After Attorney General Hiromu Kurokawa, who was suspected of having played mah-jong for money illegally with Japanese journalists, officially announced his resignation today, the inner circle of Japanese politics is now whispering Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will also resign much sooner than expected in the public. According to recent public opinions, support for Shinzo Abe Cabinet is drastically declining. Based on that, I would say he could announce his resignation even on 27 May, 2020, which has been regarded as the next “target date” of sea change in both the global market and other sectors of our societies, in accordance with the latest results of my alliance partner’s quantitative analysis by the most advanced algorhythm. Having said that, my baseline scenario is shown as follows:

*On 27 May, 2020, Shinzo Abe will announce to leave the office publicly.

*On 21 June, 2020, Natsuo Yamaguchi, the current leader of KOMEITO will be elected as the next Japan’s PM (but only “tentatively”), conditioned that Shigeru Ishiba, former Minister for Agriculture and Fishery, will be designated as the Prime Minister after next behind the door.

Of course, I don’t exclude “Chinese” factors in this regard, because various risk factors except for Shinzo Abe’s fate could simultaneously turn out to be realized very soon. In short, something both dramatic and significant will take place in the very near future. Don’t miss it.

ShigeruIshiba

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