Who Will Break the Current Stalemate? - IISIA 株式会社原田武夫国際戦略情報研究所 - haradatakeo.com
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Who Will Break the Current Stalemate?


Of course, time has gone by and is still going by. However, I can’t help feeling our biological clock has been stopped due to stalemates we’re facing all over the world. In this regard, we’re heading to the era of not “Kronos” but “Kairos” as ancient Greek people once described. In the total deflation, every single move is to be slowed and even stopped, as we, the Japanese, have experienced since 1990. It’s a really historical, irreversible event for humankind that matters and forces us to change all the models we’ve been practicing in daily life.

The so-called “celebrities” in the financial world are fully aware of such a fact from the very beginning of the whole story and now starts to tell the truth step by step, so that they could avoid to be attacked by the angry public later. Recently, Alan Greenspan, former chairman of the Fed, tries to do so by saying the following. Brien Ludin reports:

“We asked him where he thought the gold price will be in five years and he said “measurably higher.”

In private conversation I asked him about the outstanding debts… and that the debt load in the U.S. had gotten so great that there has to be some monetary depreciation. Specially he said that the era of quantitative easing and zero-interest rate policies by the Fed… we really cannot exit this without some significant market event… By that I interpret it being either a stock market crash or a prolonged recession, which would then engender another round of monetary reflation by the Fed.

He thinks something big is going to happen that we can’t get out of this era of money printing without some repercussions – and pretty severe ones – that gold will benefit from.”

Oooops! What does he mean when he says “some significant market event”? We want neither a stock market crash as we had in 2008, nor a prolonged recession. Nevertheless, Alan Greenspan seems to have intentionally leaked what he heard in communication with those who’s in facto entitled to move the world.

Now, you may wonder whether it’s just an ordinary tactic of financial celebrities to make others believe a scenario that causes fear in the society. To manipulate the market, such a scenario has been sometimes made use of and disseminated by these “celebrities”. In the case of Alan Greenspan I now mention, the history seems to repeat itself.

Nevertheless, there are indeed some obvious “stalemates” we encounter in world affairs as follows:

  • War against the ISIS
  • Antagonism between Israel and Iran
  • Peace process of the Middle East
  • Territorial conflict in Ukraine
  • Domestic turbulence in Argentina

Every time some powers try to get a breakthrough, other powers quickly emerge from the opposite direction and hinder the former from proceeding. As a matter of fact, there are lots of “structures” which can theoretically applied to break these “stalemates”, nevertheless, no one has enough power to reign supreme. That’s the problem all of us encounter currently.

When something significant, as Alan Greenspan suspected, would happen, it would take place between 3rd and 12th of March ahead, I think. Both qualitative and quantitative analysis our institute does in collaboration with my closest alliance partner, Mr. HKD, points out the result so far. Once we would miss the opportunity, the “slight fever” in the financial market would continue at least till the early summer, and we would experience an even much bigger crash than ever. In this case, the stock market keeps soaring for the time being without bringing any profits to ordinary retail investors.

After the historical crash to be expected, the next process towards rebirth of human civilization will be started to set brandnew frameworks in every sing sector of the society. To actively contribute to the process ahead, I’ll soon visit Istanbul in Turkey to attend the kickoff meeting of B20 Task Force, maybe as the only Japanese member of the task force in terms of SMEs and Entrepreneurship.

Not just awaiting but creating our own future is what we should do right now. Ask yourself who will break the current stalemates in the world community. It’s not others but YOU that is called on to move forward. Are you ready for going beyond volatilities to reach the next stage of human civilization together?